Brighton U21vs
Arsenal U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brighton U21 2-2 Arsenal U21
Original prediction
Brighton U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.3% | 39.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 27.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.8% | 32.8% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Brighton U21
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Brighton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00