Brickfield Rangersvs
Mold Alexandra
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brickfield Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brickfield Rangers 0-4 Mold Alexandra
Original prediction
Brickfield Rangers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.2% | 57.2% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 20.9% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.1% | 21.9% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Brickfield Rangers
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Brickfield Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60