Brickfield Rangersvs
Guilsfield
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brickfield Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brickfield Rangers 2-0 Guilsfield
Original prediction
Brickfield Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.3% | 57.8% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.3% | 20.7% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.3% | 21.5% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Brickfield Rangers
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Brickfield Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60