Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paradiso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brühl 0-2 Paradiso
Original prediction
Paradiso
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.1% | 35.8% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.5% | 27.9% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.4% | 36.3% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
Paradiso
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Paradiso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrühlLDLWD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ParadisoLWWWD
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BrühlParadiso
50.0Attack70.8
58.3Defence62.5
45.8Form54.2
51.7Power61.3
1.31xG1.69