Brühlvs
Grand-Saconnex
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grand-Saconnex · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brühl 1-0 Grand-Saconnex
Original prediction
Grand-Saconnex
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 15:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.0% | 32.8% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.3% | 26.4% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.6% | 40.8% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Grand-Saconnex
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Grand-Saconnex has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40