Brescia U19vs
Modena U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brescia U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brescia U19 2-1 Modena U19
Original prediction
Brescia U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 32.8% | 38.1% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.4% | 26.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 41.8% | 35.9% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Brescia U19
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Brescia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40