Brentwood Townvs
Stanway Rovers
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brentwood Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brentwood Town 2-3 Stanway Rovers
Original prediction
Brentwood Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.2% | 57.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.2% | 22.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 5.08 | 17.6% | 20.9% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Brentwood Town
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Brentwood Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40