Brentford U21vs
Sunderland U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brentford U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brentford U21 5-1 Sunderland U21
Original prediction
Brentford U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.8% | 38.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.9% | 27.2% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.3% | 34.4% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Brentford U21
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Brentford U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40