Brentford U21vs
Fulham U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brentford U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brentford U21 1-2 Fulham U21
Original prediction
Brentford U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.7% | 40.5% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.2% | 22.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.1% | 37.4% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Brentford U21
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Brentford U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00