GGOALVIO

England · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brentford U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Brentford U21 0-2 Everton U21

Original prediction

Brentford U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9645.9%56.1%10.2 pts
Draw4.0722.1%21.2%-0.9 pts
Away2.8132.0%22.7%-9.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.3–08%

Predicted outcome

Brentford U21

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Brentford U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brentford U21DWWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Everton U21LLLDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Brentford U21Everton U21
100.0Attack41.7
50.0Defence33.3
100.0Form28.3
84.5Power36.1
3.25xG1.14
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