GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weiche Flensburg · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-3 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Bremer SV 0-3 Weiche Flensburg

Original prediction

Weiche Flensburg

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.4826.0%10.0%-16.0 pts
Draw4.0622.3%12.7%-9.6 pts
Away1.7551.7%77.3%25.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

25.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–312%
  2. 2.0–211%
  3. 3.0–410%

Predicted outcome

Weiche Flensburg

Probability

77.3%

Model confidence

77.3%

Weiche Flensburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bremer SVLLWLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Weiche FlensburgLLWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bremer SVWeiche Flensburg
30.0Attack100.0
40.0Defence60.0
26.7Form73.3
34.8Power75.4
0.71xG3.36
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