Bremer SVvs
VfB Oldenburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 9/16/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfB Oldenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bremer SV 0-4 VfB Oldenburg
Original prediction
VfB Oldenburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.56 | 19.9% | 16.7% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 19.7% | 18.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.5% | 65.2% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
VfB Oldenburg
Probability
65.2%
Model confidence
65.2%
VfB Oldenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 19 · GA 9 · avg 3.80/1.80