Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bremer SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bremer SV are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Havelse are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Havelse hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Regionalliga - Nord, while Bremer SV holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bremer SV
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Bremer SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20