Bremer SVvs
Hamburger SV II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamburger SV II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bremer SV 4-1 Hamburger SV II
Original prediction
Hamburger SV II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 30.5% | 33.5% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 24.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.7% | 42.0% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Hamburger SV II
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Hamburger SV II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80