Breitenrainvs
Luzern II
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Breitenrain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Breitenrain 1-0 Luzern II
Original prediction
Breitenrain
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.6% | 48.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.3% | 22.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.1% | 28.8% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Breitenrain
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Breitenrain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20