Breitenrainvs
Bavois
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 10/3/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Breitenrain · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Breitenrain 1-0 Bavois
Original prediction
Breitenrain
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.4% | 37.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.9% | 28.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.7% | 34.6% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Breitenrain
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Breitenrain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60