GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/17/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zrinjski · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Breidablik are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Zrinjski are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zrinjski hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Zrinjski holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zrinjski

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Zrinjski has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BreidablikDLLLD

GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
ZrinjskiWDLLW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BreidablikZrinjski
50.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence50.0
50.0Form33.3
37.5Power48.4
1.54xG1.71
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