Breidablikvs
Vikingur Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/16/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vikingur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Breidablik 1-2 Vikingur Reykjavik
Original prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.26 | 21.3% | 22.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.51 | 20.1% | 22.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 58.6% | 55.0% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
Vikingur Reykjavik
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Vikingur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40