Breidablikvs
Stjarnan
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/31/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Breidablik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 4-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Breidablik 0-2 Stjarnan
Original prediction
Breidablik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.5% | 60.1% | 13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.9% | 16.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.6% | 23.3% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.4–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Breidablik
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Breidablik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60