Breidablikvs
Keflavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/11/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Breidablik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Breidablik 3-1 Keflavik
Original prediction
Breidablik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.8% | 46.3% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.0% | 24.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.3% | 29.0% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Breidablik
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Breidablik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00