GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/10/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Breidablik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Breidablik are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while HK Kopavogur are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Breidablik hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 40.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.7% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Breidablik holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Breidablik

Probability

64.7%

Model confidence

64.7%

Breidablik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BreidablikLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.67/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
HK KopavogurL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
BreidablikHK Kopavogur
66.7Attack50.6
44.4Defence32.1
53.7Form33.3
56.0Power40.4
3.15xG1.52
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