GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/28/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Breidablik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Breidablik are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Fram Reykjavik are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fram Reykjavik hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Breidablik holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Breidablik

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Breidablik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BreidablikLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fram ReykjavikLDDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
BreidablikFram Reykjavik
66.7Attack83.3
44.4Defence37.0
53.7Form68.5
56.0Power63.2
2.71xG2.69
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