Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brežice · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brežice 2-1 Krško
Original prediction
Brežice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.2% | 42.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.5% | 26.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.3% | 31.0% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Brežice
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Brežice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrežiceDDLLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KrškoLDWLL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BrežiceKrško
33.3Attack26.7
33.3Defence43.3
10.0Form30.0
28.5Power35.4
1.18xG1.01