Bregalnica Štipvs
Skopje
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bregalnica Štip · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bregalnica Štip 1-0 Skopje
Original prediction
Bregalnica Štip
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 58.5% | 52.5% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.4% | 24.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 5.25 | 17.1% | 22.7% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Bregalnica Štip
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Bregalnica Štip has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80