GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/6/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sileks · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bregalnica Štip are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sileks are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sileks hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 76.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the First League, while Sileks holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sileks

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Sileks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bregalnica ŠtipWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SileksDWLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bregalnica ŠtipSileks
66.7Attack100.0
66.7Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
57.3Power76.5
1.33xG1.35
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