Bregalnica Štipvs
Shkëndija Haraçinë
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 9/4/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bregalnica Štip · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bregalnica Štip 0-1 Shkëndija Haraçinë
Original prediction
Bregalnica Štip
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.0% | 44.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.3% | 26.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.7% | 29.3% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Bregalnica Štip
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Bregalnica Štip has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00