GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/20/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bregalnica Štip · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Bregalnica Štip are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KF Gostivari are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bregalnica Štip hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the First League, while Bregalnica Štip holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bregalnica Štip

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Bregalnica Štip has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bregalnica ŠtipLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KF GostivariLLWLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bregalnica ŠtipKF Gostivari
66.7Attack32.3
66.7Defence61.6
50.0Form42.4
57.3Power47.6
1.29xG0.76
View match centre →