GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bashkimi Kumanovo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Bregalnica Štip are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Bashkimi Kumanovo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and bashkimi Kumanovo hold a 50.7-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the First League, favouring Bashkimi Kumanovo with 15.4% confidence, a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bashkimi Kumanovo

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

15.4%

Bashkimi Kumanovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bregalnica ŠtipWWWDW

GF 16 · GA 1 · avg 3.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Bashkimi KumanovoLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bregalnica ŠtipBashkimi Kumanovo
27.3Attack66.7
49.5Defence100.0
28.3Form100.0
38.0Power88.7
0.69xG1.56
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