GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Livingston · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Brechin are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Livingston are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Livingston hold a 65.6-point power-rating edge (10.3 v 75.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the League Cup, while Livingston holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Livingston

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Livingston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BrechinL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/5.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
LivingstonWWW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.67/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
BrechinLivingston
16.7Attack91.7
0.0Defence91.7
0.0Form66.7
10.3Power75.9
0.98xG2.68
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