GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/15/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brechin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Brechin are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hibernian U21 are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Brechin hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Challenge Cup, while Brechin holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Brechin

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Brechin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BrechinWDDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hibernian U21D

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
BrechinHibernian U21
33.3Attack0.0
0.0Defence0.0
16.7Form0.0
21.0Power7.0
2.01xG1.74
View match centre →