GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/1/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hearts U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Brechin are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hearts U21 are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 3.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hearts U21 hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Challenge Cup, while Hearts U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hearts U21

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Hearts U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BrechinWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hearts U21DWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 3.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
BrechinHearts U21
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence0.0
16.7Form100.0
21.0Power72.0
1.68xG2.32
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