Brazil Wvs
Argentina W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brazil W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brazil W 3-1 Argentina W
Original prediction
Brazil W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 77.1% | 55.6% | -21.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.89 | 15.3% | 23.5% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 12.01 | 7.5% | 20.9% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Brazil W
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Brazil W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80