Brazil Wvs
Argentina W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brazil W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brazil W 2-2 Argentina W
Original prediction
Brazil W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 78.3% | 59.2% | -19.0 pts |
| Draw | 6.13 | 14.8% | 21.9% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 12.91 | 7.0% | 18.8% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Brazil W
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Brazil W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40