World Cup
Brazil
Home
Japan
AwayMomentum trend
last 5 matchesBrazilJapanProbability breakdown
Brazil leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Brazil head into this in World Cup fixture at NRG Stadium in strong form (LWWWD), while Japan arrive in mixed form (LDWD). Brazil have a 60% win rate across their last 5 matches, compared to 25% for Japan over 4 games.
Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Brazil (73/100) and Japan (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.
Brazil have won 2 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Japan have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.
Brazil have generated 2.38 xG per game recently while conceding 0.53 xG per match. Japan have generated 0.23 xG per game recently while conceding 1.69 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
Brazil have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Brazil to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Brazil 5080%, Draw 2380%, Japan 2540%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Brazil
Japan
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brazil vs Japan?
GoalVio's model predicts Brazil to win with 54% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Japan?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Brazil vs Japan?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brazil vs Japan?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.