Brazil U20vs
United States U20
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brazil U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brazil U20 2-0 United States U20
Original prediction
Brazil U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.1% | 45.3% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.1% | 26.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 21.8% | 28.7% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Brazil U20
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Brazil U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60