Brazil U20vs
Mexico U20
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brazil U20 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brazil U20 4-0 Mexico U20
Original prediction
Brazil U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 48.1% | 54.1% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.8% | 24.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.1% | 21.3% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Brazil U20
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Brazil U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60