Bray Wanderersvs
Wexford
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 10/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bray Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bray Wanderers 2-2 Wexford
Original prediction
Bray Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.4% | 51.2% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.3% | 25.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.3% | 23.7% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Bray Wanderers
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Bray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60