Bray Wanderersvs
Treaty United
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 9/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bray Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bray Wanderers 2-0 Treaty United
Original prediction
Bray Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.8% | 66.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.51 | 19.9% | 19.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.90 | 15.2% | 14.4% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Bray Wanderers
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
66.4%
Bray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60