GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/10/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bray Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bray Wanderers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Longford Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bray Wanderers hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the First Division, while Bray Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bray Wanderers

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

Bray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bray WanderersDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Longford TownDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Bray WanderersLongford Town
66.7Attack43.2
54.3Defence58.0
53.1Form45.7
57.2Power50.4
1.84xG1.06
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