GGOALVIO

Ireland · FAI Cup · 8/18/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bray Wanderers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Dundalk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dundalk hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the FAI Cup, while Dundalk holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dundalk

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bray WanderersDLDLW

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
DundalkWDDLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bray WanderersDundalk
33.3Attack100.0
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power88.7
1.58xG1.70
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