Bray Wanderersvs
Cork City
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bray Wanderers 1-1 Cork City
Original prediction
Cork City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.12 | 28.9% | 23.2% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 21.7% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.4% | 55.1% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00