Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bravo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bravo 2-0 Mura
Original prediction
Bravo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.1% | 41.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 29.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.6% | 29.6% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Bravo
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Bravo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BravoLDDLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MuraLWLLD
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BravoMura
38.9Attack0.0
61.1Defence66.7
46.3Form0.0
50.9Power23.7
1.25xG0.88