Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bravo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Bravo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mura are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bravo hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the 1. SNL, while Bravo holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bravo
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
15.3%
Bravo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80