Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brattvåg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brattvåg 1-4 Bjarg
Original prediction
Brattvåg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.0% | 45.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 20.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.7% | 34.1% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Brattvåg
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Brattvåg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrattvågWWWWL
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BjargWWWWL
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BrattvågBjarg
72.5Attack75.4
58.0Defence56.5
69.6Form68.1
67.2Power66.1
2.06xG1.76