Bratstvo Gračanicavs
TOŠK Tešanj
COMPLETEDBosnia · 1st League - FBiH · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bratstvo Gračanica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bratstvo Gračanica 1-3 TOŠK Tešanj
Original prediction
Bratstvo Gračanica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.1% | 44.6% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.0% | 28.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.9% | 27.2% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Bratstvo Gračanica
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Bratstvo Gračanica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40