GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Brasil DE Pelotas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sao Jose are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Jose hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brasil DE PelotasLLDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sao JoseWDDLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Brasil DE PelotasSao Jose
30.0Attack23.5
60.0Defence74.5
33.3Form45.1
43.3Power50.6
0.48xG0.54
View match centre →