GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Brasil DE Pelotas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente FSJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente FSJ hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brasil DE PelotasLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente FSJWDLLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Brasil DE PelotasIndependiente FSJ
30.0Attack11.1
60.0Defence86.1
33.3Form44.4
43.3Power50.2
0.46xG0.54
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