Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brann W 4-0 HJK W
Original prediction
Brann W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 77.2% | 52.8% | -24.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.39 | 16.6% | 24.7% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 14.46 | 6.2% | 22.5% | 16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Brann W
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Brann W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Brann WWWWWL
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
HJK WWLWWW
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Brann WHJK W
66.7Attack0.0
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power15.3
2.27xG1.22