Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brann 0-2 Viking
Original prediction
Viking
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 27.8% | 25.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 23.2% | 24.7% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 49.0% | 49.5% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Viking
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Viking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrannLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VikingWWWLD
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BrannViking
61.9Attack85.7
49.2Defence68.3
46.0Form79.4
52.5Power76.4
1.18xG2.50