Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Brann are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tromso are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tromso hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Eliteserien, while Tromso holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
9.4%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20