Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brann 3-2 PAOK
Original prediction
Brann
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.8% | 42.6% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.3% | 26.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 35.9% | 30.5% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrannDWWLW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PAOKWDLLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BrannPAOK
66.7Attack33.3
53.3Defence66.7
53.3Form33.3
58.9Power45.3
1.84xG1.19